Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.048031 0.052224 0.056472 0.061090 0.065962 0.070941 0.076408
2024-10-13 0.041923 0.048152 0.054691 0.062041 0.070043 0.078467 0.087977
2024-10-20 0.036002 0.043570 0.051786 0.061303 0.071961 0.083467 0.096766
2024-10-27 0.032256 0.040940 0.050654 0.062209 0.075461 0.090073 0.107289
2024-11-03 0.028386 0.037765 0.048569 0.061747 0.077200 0.094570 0.115391
2024-11-10 0.025550 0.035519 0.047317 0.062035 0.079636 0.099752 0.124220
2024-11-17 0.023423 0.033921 0.046655 0.062868 0.082594 0.105468 0.133643
2024-11-24 0.022635 0.033900 0.047842 0.065883 0.088133 0.114225 0.146674
2024-12-01 0.019734 0.030920 0.045139 0.063930 0.087513 0.115565 0.150877
2024-12-08 0.017756 0.028997 0.043635 0.063346 0.088462 0.118705 0.157169
2024-12-15 0.016105 0.027385 0.042419 0.063024 0.089653 0.122082 0.163716
2024-12-22 0.015576 0.027297 0.043190 0.065254 0.094062 0.129426 0.175130
2024-12-29 0.014635 0.026582 0.043110 0.066401 0.097165 0.135276 0.184900
2025-01-05 0.013685 0.025784 0.042867 0.067301 0.099946 0.140749 0.194262
2025-01-12 0.012268 0.024170 0.041392 0.066461 0.100407 0.143272 0.199958
2025-01-19 0.011507 0.023512 0.041232 0.067385 0.103172 0.148723 0.209348
2025-01-26 0.010411 0.022228 0.040086 0.066878 0.103986 0.151653 0.215559
2025-02-02 0.009625 0.021387 0.039542 0.067172 0.105847 0.155920 0.223472
2025-02-09 0.009054 0.020859 0.039426 0.068046 0.108477 0.161183 0.232670
2025-02-16 0.009079 0.021362 0.040896 0.071224 0.114295 0.170659 0.247339
2025-02-23 0.007896 0.019628 0.038816 0.069162 0.112826 0.170520 0.249599
2025-03-02 0.007133 0.018583 0.037757 0.068544 0.113320 0.172943 0.255160
2025-03-09 0.006491 0.017703 0.036913 0.068203 0.114171 0.175824 0.261313